Marty Hibbs, proprietor of the Commodity Trader website and its brand and is currently acting as a private consultant and seminar conductor for Futures Trading.

Marty brings more than 25 years of experience as a Futures and Options broker.  This site will keep you abreast of Marty's movements and thoughts on the ever changing markets. We thank you for your patience

Jan 1st 2012

Marty's Picks for 2012

1: US Treasuries are the next bubble.  My Target to short  the Futures is 150-160

2: Swiss Franc will be currency of my choice in 2012.

3: Canadian Dollar back up  to 110 highs.

4: US Stock Market will perform well due largely to the US  Elections year.  But it is a very dangerous rally. Anybody who knows me, knows I'm not a fan of equities.

Update:  March 15 2012

Bonds declining but should find support in the 135 area.  Our target shorting area is now lowered to the stops above the 147 area.  In the event of anther major castrophe we could still see the 150 in the bonds but for now we need to lower our target to a more realistic point.

S&P  Continues the spring rally and should see 1500 as the summer approaches.  If this happens, it could be the biggest short of the century.  For the time being you should not try to short this bullish move.

UPDATE : April 15th 2102

As noted above, the Bonds found the major support in that 135 range and are now headed higher.  At this point (141) we are looking for a test of the 147 area as the shorting opportunity.  Im still a believer that this will be the trade to be in when it happens.

BULLETiN

UPDATE MAY 15 2012

BOND TARGET REACHED !!!  

Hello Again !!  We have today reached the target as indicated above from April 15th.  The 30 year Bonds are currently trading at 146 1/2. 

CAUTION !!!  Given the rise in the last month of almost 12 full points, I believe the momentum culd carry us to the 150 and possibly higher.  For this reason it is important not to short the market outright unless you can suffer a 5 point move against you.  I would rather buy Put options as the market rises.

Of course the savy investor bought calls last month as the market hit our target of 135 and are now rolling in the dough to the tune of a ten to twenty times the multiple on most call options.

My thoughts are that a normal market could easily be shorted here but this is not a normal market and another Euro event could be the catalyst to drive the Bonds parabolic in the next week or two.

S&P  The S&P and DOW may have seen their highs for the summer.  I think it is now a safe bet for a short on any bounce for the summer.

GOLD !!   I think we are getting to the floor in this one.  $1525 in the August is a great buying area.

Silver on the other hand, I want to see 25.50 - 26.00

Marty Hibbs